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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings12%94102
1Spurs88%110130
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
25.2
24.2
6
50%
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
24.1
27.0
18
63%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
1-4
25%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
22.4
30.7
10
63%
2
2
2
1
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
46%
2-2
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
21.1
29.6
3
21%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
20.8
31.1
9
46%
7
0
1
1
0
4
2
5
1-2
50%
4-9
5-12
44%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
32.5
25.5
25
78%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
25.9
14.1
6
33%
5
1
3
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
20.6
7.1
2
20%
2
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
19.6
14.7
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
14.1
16.1
8
93%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
7.8
4.7
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
39%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
6.1
12.0
6
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
29.7
34.2
14
80%
4
4
2
2
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
57%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
25.3
28.5
13
57%
0
7
0
1
0
5
0
0
3-3
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.8
25.1
28.5
13
64%
10
3
3
1
3
2
1
9
3-5
60%
5-8
6-12
63%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
24.4
25.3
15
76%
3
2
2
1
2
5
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
3-6
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
22.5
26.2
14
79%
11
0
1
1
0
0
4
7
2-2
100%
6-8
4-6
75%
62%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
23.8
12.3
16
67%
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
8-11
2-4
73%
55%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
23.3
9.1
13
66%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
3-6
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
22.9
23.6
9
54%
4
15
3
1
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
14.3
10.2
12
86%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
2-3
67%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
12.0
12.0
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
10.8
2.5
9
116%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
6.0
2.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
10.9
0
1-2
48%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.