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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Raptors35%97114
14Bucks65%102122
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
47.6
6.7
15
56%
7
4
4
0
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
7-11
1-1
64%
50%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
46.2
36.2
18
37%
3
9
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-8
75%
6-21
6-13
29%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
39.4
28.0
19
80%
9
1
0
1
0
2
4
5
1-2
50%
9-11
4-7
82%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.9
36.0
28.2
10
71%
10
10
5
1
0
6
2
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
33.0
24.4
11
37%
7
3
0
0
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
47%
1-3
33%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
29.1
19.6
21
47%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
4-5
80%
7-12
2-4
58%
41%
1-8
13%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
17.6
16.7
16
89%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
4-5
80%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
11.1
22.8
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
5.0
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
35.5
1
6-14
45%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
6.6
0
1-1
51%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.7
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
45.3
31.3
11
40%
5
19
1
1
1
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-10
4-9
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
42.4
30.5
29
63%
11
1
2
1
1
1
3
8
5-5
100%
12-18
4-8
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
37.8
41.3
23
56%
5
5
3
2
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
9-18
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
34.6
29.6
13
77%
12
2
0
1
5
1
5
7
1-1
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
24.0
23.9
10
53%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
6-10
60%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
34.9
23.4
16
62%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
20.1
26.7
8
57%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
2-3
67%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
9.3
7.1
2
53%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
8.8
9.2
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
8.1
7.8
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
8.6
0
2-3
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.