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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder43%98108
3Clippers57%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
45.1
34.2
35
55%
9
4
2
1
0
4
2
7
12-15
80%
7-17
6-12
41%
52%
3-8
38%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
40.4
32.8
29
59%
6
10
1
2
0
3
1
5
7-10
70%
11-18
7-14
61%
46%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
38.6
30.7
9
64%
5
1
2
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
30.0
30.8
16
81%
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1-2
50%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
26.7
22.2
2
50%
8
4
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
23.8
21.8
10
38%
1
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
2-5
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
18.9
18.3
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
8.8
5.6
1
57%
1
0
2
0
3
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
7.6
17.4
4
69%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
11.3
0
1-2
37%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
4.5
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
3.3
0
0-1
49%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
41.4
31.0
26
52%
6
8
4
2
0
3
3
3
9-9
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
51%
1-6
17%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.0
32.4
30.9
20
60%
9
5
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-6
67%
8-14
7-13
57%
54%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
23.0
22.5
10
56%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
17.6
18.7
1
15%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-3
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
16.3
18.5
7
90%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-3
3-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
30.4
23.4
20
72%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
4-5
80%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
26.1
26.2
8
50%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
22.4
22.9
6
75%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
9.4
14.4
2
50%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
8.9
6.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
6.7
16.1
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
5.5
4.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
55%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.