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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats33%10083
24Kings67%106119
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
28.2
23.8
10
56%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
27.5
29.4
12
56%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
26.4
32.1
11
50%
0
6
2
2
0
2
0
0
6-9
67%
1-3
5-10
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
19.5
24.9
12
55%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
6.2
24.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
29.8
13.4
6
25%
6
2
1
0
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
0-5
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
24.4
4.9
2
50%
5
1
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
19.2
20.4
9
46%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
17.3
21.3
4
30%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
16.1
18.9
3
32%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
13.4
12.2
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
12.0
4.7
9
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
30.4
26.1
22
72%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
5-5
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
5-10
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
27.8
24.4
18
85%
14
0
2
1
0
2
4
10
6-6
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
26.8
25.6
10
50%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
23.7
27.3
13
72%
7
4
1
1
1
1
0
7
5-7
71%
1-3
5-9
33%
51%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
23.3
26.9
14
44%
9
1
0
1
1
3
3
6
2-4
50%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
20.5
15.1
6
55%
12
4
0
1
0
0
4
8
0-1
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
19.7
27.5
18
76%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
19.4
16.5
7
32%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-6
17%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
16.9
18.3
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
15.5
12.4
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
8.4
9.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
7.4
3.1
2
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
6.2
0
1-2
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.