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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks35%102103
5Rockets65%107136
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
26.6
32.8
8
41%
4
4
1
1
1
3
2
2
4-4
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
25.9
35.6
18
84%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
24.8
28.8
14
50%
8
3
1
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
18.2
27.4
5
83%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
12.8
16.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
24.8
14.0
8
40%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
21.6
26.5
12
68%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
18.1
18.5
11
69%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
3-5
60%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
17.7
4.6
12
61%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
58%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
17.2
24.3
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
13.9
3.3
7
45%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
9.7
2.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
8.6
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
30.4
38.6
21
75%
4
7
1
2
0
0
0
4
7-9
78%
1-2
6-11
50%
52%
4-8
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
29.9
38.6
32
115%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-6
4-8
100%
54%
6-7
86%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
29.8
21.4
8
55%
8
4
1
1
0
3
3
5
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
26.1
31.1
10
64%
10
0
3
1
0
0
0
10
2-4
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
24.6
28.4
21
65%
0
9
2
2
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
7-10
4-7
70%
49%
1-4
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
23.4
19.5
9
59%
7
3
1
1
0
2
4
3
5-6
83%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
18.4
5.8
8
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
17.8
11.3
10
75%
8
1
3
0
0
1
1
7
4-6
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
17.4
29.3
3
20%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-5
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
8.6
3.8
3
44%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
8.2
10.9
8
103%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
5.6
3.1
3
61%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
1.8
0
0-0
51%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.