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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons17%9175
4Spurs83%104114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
36.5
27.7
8
26%
6
6
2
1
0
3
3
3
1-3
33%
2-8
3-8
25%
43%
1-6
17%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
30.5
32.9
16
54%
8
4
0
1
0
4
1
7
4-4
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
27.9
31.6
14
70%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.8
23.5
26.1
5
25%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
15.7
25.1
1
17%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.5
25.1
11.3
10
45%
10
1
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
2-6
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
18.7
25.4
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.0
17.5
15.5
10
46%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
16.0
8.6
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
10.9
14.2
6
77%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
10.7
10.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.5
7.3
10.5
3
65%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-3
33%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.3
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
26.4
26.6
16
54%
11
6
0
1
5
0
4
7
2-2
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
26.3
31.5
14
64%
6
2
1
2
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
56%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
23.1
24.2
8
39%
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
3-9
4-6
33%
61%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
21.1
24.7
16
64%
4
0
1
1
2
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
17.9
6.1
8
74%
0
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
25.9
7.7
6
38%
8
6
0
0
0
3
1
7
0-2
0%
3-6
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
22.5
23.0
17
96%
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
19.7
17.2
4
32%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
16.1
11.9
6
75%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
13.6
12.0
3
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
12.0
4.2
7
90%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
8.5
16.9
7
50%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
6.8
15.8
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.