Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Hawks	43%	99	98	102.1	96	89.0
	12	Lakers	57%	101	99	102.1	97	105.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford F · 6'8" 240 · 27	39.6	24	60%	5	3	3	0	5	2	1	4	0-0	-	12-20	60%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.3	19	50%	7	7	1	3	6	4	1	6	0-6	0%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	24.5	8	29%	0	5	0	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	20.3	2	100%	2	4	0	1	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 32	19.3	4	50%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	34.8	16	62%	5	4	0	2	0	3	0	5	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	24.5	16	80%	3	6	3	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	24.2	6	60%	8	1	4	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	14.1	3	75%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Scott #32 · F · 6'8" 237 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	36	34	13	8	14	0	3	33	8-15	53%	33-60	55%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford F · 6'8" 240 · 27	39.6	24	60%	5	3	3	0	5	2	1	4	0-0	-	12-20	60%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.3	19	50%	7	7	1	3	6	4	1	6	0-6	0%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	24.5	8	29%	0	5	0	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	20.3	2	100%	2	4	0	1	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 32	19.3	4	50%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	34.8	16	62%	5	4	0	2	0	3	0	5	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	24.5	16	80%	3	6	3	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	24.2	6	60%	8	1	4	2	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	14.1	3	75%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Scott #32 · F · 6'8" 237 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	36	34	13	8	14	0	3	33	8-15	53%	33-60	55%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 27	40.8	11	42%	15	0	2	1	5	4	2	13	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 35	39.0	34	55%	6	4	2	0	5	1	1	5	6-8	75%	11-22	50%	2-5	40%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 39	32.9	15	63%	2	10	1	0	5	2	0	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 33	28.8	13	72%	3	1	2	0	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Earl Clark F · 6'10" 234 · 25	20.2	7	58%	7	1	0	0	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%

Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 37	34.5	10	63%	8	0	1	0	2	1	1	7	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 33	23.8	8	100%	2	5	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	20.0	1	17%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chris Duhon G · 6'1" 190 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darius Morris G · 6'4" 195 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Devin Ebanks F · 6'9" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hill #27 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pau Gasol #16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	43	21	9	1	21	0	7	36	13-18	72%	28-57	49%	10-21	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 53.8%

LAL

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

19

23

83%

LAL

15

27

56%

Midrange

ATL

14

37

38%

LAL

13

30

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

LAL

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

Free Throws

ATL

8

15

53%

LAL

13

18

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	24	60%	12.0 / 20
J. Smith	19	50%	9.5 / 19
K. Korver	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Harris	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Teague	8	29%	4.0 / 14
J. Petro	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Stevenson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Tolliver	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Z. Pachulia	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	34	55%	17.0 / 31
S. Nash	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. World Peace	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Howard	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Jamison	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. Blake	8	100%	4.0 / 4
E. Clark	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Meeks	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 7 108.3	ATL 102.1 +0.0 LAL 102.1
Pace	12 92.9 6 94.1	ATL 89.0 LAL 105.3 +16.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 24 15.2	ATL 16.2 LAL 13.7 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 9 51.2%	ATL 54.9% LAL 55.1% +0.2%
TO %	16 15.2% 25 15.5%	ATL 14.5% −5.1% LAL 19.6%
ORB %	26 22.2% 14 27.0%	ATL 7.7% LAL 17.5% +9.8%
FTrt	25 24.4 1 34.5	ATL 18.3 LAL 23.1 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 17 59.8%	ATL 82.9% +27.6% LAL 55.3%
STL %	12 8.7% 26 7.5%	ATL 13.5% +4.2% LAL 9.3%
BLK %	23 7.1% 17 7.9%	ATL 14.0% +12.3% LAL 1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 8 53.3%	ATL 53.8% LAL 56.3% +2.5%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 8 59.2%	ATL 82.6% +27.0% LAL 55.6%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 9 40.3%	ATL 37.8% LAL 43.3% +5.5%
3P %	7 37.1% 19 35.5%	ATL 36.4% LAL 47.6% +11.2%
FT %	26 71.5% 30 69.2%	ATL 53.3% LAL 72.2% +18.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 13 37.0%	ATL 28.0% LAL 34.6% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 4 32.7%	ATL 45.1% LAL 38.5% −6.7%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 3 30.3%	ATL 26.8% LAL 26.9% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	LAL
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	98	99
Rebounds	36	43
Assists	34	21
Steals	13	9
Blocks	8	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (4)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	41-82	38-78
At-the-Rim FG	19-23	15-27
Midrange FG	14-37	13-30
2-Point FG	33-60	28-57
3-Point FG	8-22	10-21
Free Throws	8-15	13-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg