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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 3, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks43%9998
12Lakers57%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
39.6
37.7
24
60%
5
3
3
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
12-20
8-15
60%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
36.3
37.8
19
51%
7
7
1
1
3
6
1
6
0-6
0%
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
24.5
28.9
8
29%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
49%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
20.3
19.9
2
100%
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
19.3
15.5
4
52%
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
34.8
32.9
16
58%
5
4
0
1
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
24.5
25.0
16
78%
3
6
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
24.2
2.0
6
60%
8
1
4
0
2
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
14.1
13.8
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
2.4
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
0.0
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
12.7
0
1-2
45%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
1.6
0
0-1
44%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
40.8
32.8
11
43%
15
0
2
1
1
5
2
13
1-2
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
58%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
39.0
33.3
34
56%
6
4
2
1
0
5
1
5
6-8
75%
11-22
7-13
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
32.9
27.4
15
58%
2
10
1
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
28.8
30.5
13
73%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
20.2
27.8
7
58%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
34.5
23.9
10
63%
8
0
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
23.8
21.5
8
100%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
20.0
23.6
1
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
5.0
0
0-0
44%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.