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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Magic26%94105
21Hornets74%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
40.2
33.1
26
57%
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
9-15
4-9
60%
50%
1-5
20%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
37.0
30.1
13
48%
4
1
2
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
36.5
10.5
15
49%
4
7
1
0
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
1-2
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
28.4
27.3
9
58%
11
1
0
1
0
2
4
7
3-4
75%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
15.9
21.8
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
31.4
24.4
15
70%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
17.9
14.3
10
71%
5
3
2
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
2-3
67%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
17.3
29.8
7
58%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
11.5
23.2
2
25%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
3.9
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
9.9
0
1-3
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
9.6
0
1-2
42%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
39.3
31.9
17
49%
1
8
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
38.6
12.6
17
50%
15
0
0
1
4
3
5
10
5-9
56%
6-13
3-5
46%
54%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
32.0
29.3
7
42%
8
2
1
1
3
0
0
8
3-3
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
28.9
23.1
17
61%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
10.8
27.3
9
85%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
3-3
100%
3-4
5-9
75%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
33.7
31.5
13
60%
2
2
0
1
2
1
2
0
3-4
75%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
18.3
25.8
9
60%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
15.8
9.0
8
58%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
14.7
14.2
5
58%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
7.1
13.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 22.9
0.8
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
9.9
0
1-3
47%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
5.4
0
0-0
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.