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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat68%10097
23Timberwolves32%9481
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
37.7
35.4
32
66%
7
10
1
2
0
5
2
5
2-3
67%
15-23
8-16
65%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
34.9
39.2
20
61%
10
4
3
2
2
7
1
9
1-1
100%
8-12
8-14
67%
56%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
31.1
32.9
11
72%
9
1
3
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
3-4
6-11
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
22.6
26.2
4
41%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
17.1
17.1
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
26.4
24.1
13
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
24.6
24.0
3
38%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-4
25%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
22.8
17.8
4
29%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
14.9
12.7
6
104%
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
2.0
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
2.0
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
2.0
2.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
2.0
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
45.3
35.7
25
53%
10
1
0
1
0
3
3
7
4-4
100%
9-19
5-11
47%
48%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
38.6
34.0
14
57%
5
8
6
2
0
6
2
3
0-3
0%
4-7
3-8
57%
39%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
33.8
32.3
9
31%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
23.8
17.4
6
34%
3
1
3
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
9.2
12.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
38.8
25.9
8
38%
11
2
1
1
1
4
6
5
0-1
0%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
23.4
18.8
13
73%
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
21.6
24.2
4
17%
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-7
3-7
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
5.5
10.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
15.3
0
3-5
53%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
10.8
0
1-2
53%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.0
0
1-3
48%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.