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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks31%9788
7Nuggets69%104104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
36.4
14.0
9
64%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
35.1
4.4
4
29%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
33.6
38.0
18
53%
13
4
1
1
2
2
5
8
0-2
0%
9-16
8-15
56%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
32.4
36.8
15
43%
5
3
1
1
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-14
6-12
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
30.6
27.2
15
41%
4
8
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
0-2
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
23.6
8.8
12
45%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
3-3
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
20.9
24.6
11
51%
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
1-6
17%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
13.1
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
9.0
11.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
5.4
1.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
33.0
1
2-3
44%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
20.3
1
2-4
48%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
17.2
0
0-1
39%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
34.7
34.7
12
75%
6
6
1
2
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
32.0
35.9
18
71%
1
8
3
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
2-4
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
26.9
23.4
7
58%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
25.8
23.3
10
45%
13
0
1
1
0
3
4
9
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
57%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
20.5
21.3
7
72%
7
0
0
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
57%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
27.5
24.8
22
55%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
11-17
3-7
65%
50%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
27.4
29.2
13
48%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
20.4
24.9
4
50%
2
9
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
17.0
17.5
9
77%
4
0
0
0
5
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
1.9
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
1.9
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
1.9
2.8
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
1.9
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.