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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats22%95105
22Trail Blazers78%105122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
36.4
29.2
15
34%
4
11
3
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
44%
0-4
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
28.4
28.4
14
41%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
6-14
4-10
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
27.9
25.5
17
72%
10
0
0
1
0
0
5
5
1-2
50%
8-11
3-7
73%
46%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
26.4
16.3
8
40%
9
0
1
0
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
3.3
22.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
27.3
19.5
18
73%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
8-10
3-6
80%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
22.6
20.6
9
48%
8
3
0
1
1
1
3
5
1-1
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
22.1
17.4
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
15.9
13.0
14
54%
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
15.4
13.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
14.2
19.8
4
60%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
8.3
0
1-1
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
5.6
0
1-1
49%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
38.1
36.6
20
63%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
3-8
38%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
36.7
35.4
20
91%
4
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
4-6
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
36.0
26.9
14
70%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
4-7
57%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
35.0
32.2
23
58%
14
5
0
1
3
3
5
9
7-9
78%
8-16
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
27.4
27.9
15
76%
8
1
1
1
2
0
3
5
1-2
50%
7-9
5-8
78%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
23.5
21.6
10
63%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
41%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
20.6
17.7
15
77%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
6-8
2-4
75%
59%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
17.9
16.6
5
50%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
3.7
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
1.1
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
6.0
0
1-2
47%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
2.6
0
0-0
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.