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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2876ers26%9096
15Hawks74%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
38.2
38.7
11
39%
4
12
1
2
1
4
2
2
4-5
80%
2-9
6-14
22%
46%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
26.2
34.0
16
70%
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
8-11
6-13
73%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
22.6
38.1
2
14%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
6-13
17%
44%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
21.3
28.8
8
51%
11
3
0
0
0
2
1
10
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
12.8
24.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
31.9
23.0
20
54%
9
1
3
1
0
2
0
9
5-6
83%
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
3-8
38%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
29.4
1.7
7
44%
2
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
0-0
43%
43%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
26.8
11.7
8
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
6
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
22.0
12.2
21
82%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
6-9
1-3
67%
42%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
8.9
7.6
3
34%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
14.3
0
2-4
47%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
9.8
0
1-2
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
41.0
35.9
21
59%
12
6
1
1
1
3
1
11
1-2
50%
10-17
8-14
59%
56%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
38.6
28.0
27
81%
2
11
1
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
30.3
34.8
13
42%
6
2
0
1
1
4
1
5
1-6
17%
6-13
6-11
46%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
26.5
22.9
6
36%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
23.7
12.2
3
38%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-4
25%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
33.4
23.3
9
64%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
26.9
21.2
21
97%
8
1
0
0
2
2
4
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
5-7
71%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
13.5
13.9
7
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
4.0
14.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
1.0
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
1.0
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
10.3
0
1-3
45%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
7.8
0
1-3
52%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.