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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers31%9385
10Grizzlies69%9991
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
37.1
35.3
10
44%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
36.6
33.0
10
30%
10
6
2
1
0
2
2
8
6-8
75%
2-13
7-15
15%
48%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
36.3
36.3
20
58%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
6-10
4-9
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
33.8
30.5
11
43%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-6
17%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
31.4
27.1
12
50%
13
0
1
1
2
1
3
10
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
25.3
21.7
12
79%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
1-2
1-4
50%
37%
2-3
67%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
18.4
17.1
4
40%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
16.1
18.7
5
51%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
5.0
6.9
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
4.4
0
0-1
40%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
2.6
0
0-0
38%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
40.8
34.6
23
59%
12
3
0
1
1
3
5
7
3-6
50%
10-17
5-10
59%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
36.1
30.2
20
73%
3
6
2
2
2
2
0
3
5-6
83%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
35.2
28.2
6
25%
9
5
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-11
3-7
27%
47%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
24.6
15.4
3
31%
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.1
20.6
24.0
10
36%
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-12
3-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
25.4
19.8
13
54%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
3-5
60%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
22.3
21.0
4
33%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
14.2
9.0
6
60%
4
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
10.0
7.7
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
7.3
8.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
3.5
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
23.0
1
4-9
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
11.6
0
2-4
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.