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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards52%9382
23Timberwolves48%9287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
41.8
29.8
11
46%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-8
25%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
38.8
31.3
19
55%
3
7
3
1
1
6
1
2
5-5
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
38.0
28.6
16
66%
7
6
1
1
0
4
1
6
5-5
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
36.0
30.9
12
52%
8
1
1
1
1
7
3
5
6-8
75%
3-8
6-11
38%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
33.0
33.0
10
56%
14
1
0
1
1
2
0
14
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
20.0
14.9
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.2
12.0
9.9
8
80%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
8.2
8.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
6.3
9.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
5.8
4.2
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
11.0
1
1-2
43%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
5.1
0
0-1
42%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
3.4
0
0-0
40%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
37.9
35.1
15
39%
7
11
6
2
0
3
0
7
7-10
70%
4-13
3-8
31%
40%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
37.2
32.2
15
51%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
36.8
38.5
16
48%
8
0
2
1
0
2
0
8
7-11
64%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
24.6
19.7
6
75%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
21.9
11.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
23.4
22.7
12
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
21.4
30.4
11
70%
5
1
2
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
20.9
20.5
4
26%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
15.8
8.4
6
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
11.5
0
2-4
53%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.0
0
1-3
48%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
8.9
0
1-2
53%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.