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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks24%96101
3Clippers76%105117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
39.5
37.3
18
72%
1
12
1
2
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
4-10
50%
42%
5-10
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
35.4
37.4
22
69%
2
6
0
2
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
7-9
6-13
78%
46%
2-6
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
30.6
30.8
20
75%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
3-5
60%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
30.0
31.7
11
48%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
17.5
20.8
6
43%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
25.3
19.7
10
56%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
21.9
26.3
3
30%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
17.4
5.6
4
41%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
7.3
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
6.8
13.6
5
64%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
4.3
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
3.9
3.2
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
4.2
0
1-2
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.0
32.8
31.1
23
66%
11
11
1
1
1
3
2
9
5-8
63%
9-13
7-13
69%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
32.1
34.2
14
54%
3
9
1
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
52%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
19.6
17.8
10
71%
6
0
1
0
1
2
5
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-4
71%
63%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
19.5
22.4
7
44%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
18.4
18.1
7
60%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
28.5
25.7
20
83%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
6-11
55%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
26.1
25.7
25
78%
4
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
21.0
7.6
4
41%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
18.3
22.4
0
0%
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
15.9
12.9
5
63%
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
3.9
12.4
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
3.9
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
5.5
0
1-1
56%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.