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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pacers73%98115
28Magic27%9086
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
28.2
31.1
10
63%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-2
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
27.4
40.7
25
88%
5
3
1
2
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
4-5
80%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.2
27.2
28.4
10
74%
2
1
1
1
5
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
26.1
34.3
9
32%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-13
7-14
31%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
22.5
33.7
11
61%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.3
25.5
12.5
14
78%
3
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
4-6
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.3
20.2
12.7
18
71%
6
2
0
0
1
0
3
3
4-6
67%
7-10
2-4
70%
45%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
19.8
10.6
2
20%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
15.2
5.1
5
42%
2
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
47%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.3
13.6
16.7
2
53%
6
1
0
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
5.5
4.5
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
5.4
2.5
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.5
3.4
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
33.7
31.9
12
55%
6
1
2
1
2
5
3
3
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
30.2
28.5
10
46%
3
6
3
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
44%
2-5
40%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
29.4
34.0
19
63%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
26.9
33.4
3
15%
6
0
3
1
0
4
3
3
3-4
75%
0-6
4-7
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
21.4
26.5
7
39%
8
0
0
1
2
4
0
8
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
1-1
100%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
18.1
18.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
17.8
13.8
12
76%
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
16.3
5.9
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
16.3
8.1
6
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
12.0
5.0
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
11.4
22.1
6
60%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
6.6
11.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.