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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks46%93102
16Celtics54%94107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
47.3
37.2
22
59%
13
5
1
1
2
1
5
8
4-6
67%
9-16
8-15
56%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
45.6
32.9
32
56%
8
8
0
1
1
5
1
7
3-4
75%
10-18
5-11
56%
48%
3-9
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
44.3
31.4
26
61%
3
9
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
49%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
27.8
23.9
12
55%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
1-5
20%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
17.1
7.1
2
33%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
38.2
27.0
3
30%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
34.1
22.9
5
32%
6
5
2
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
7.2
13.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
3.4
10.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
16.5
0
0-1
39%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
5.6
0
1-2
49%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
1.9
0
0-1
45%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
1.5
0
0-0
41%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
39.1
31.3
27
72%
7
7
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-6
67%
7-9
4-8
78%
47%
3-7
43%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
37.8
31.5
5
32%
4
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
35.1
28.6
17
50%
8
2
2
1
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
27.6
28.7
4
67%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
22.9
23.3
8
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
36.1
29.7
12
55%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
36.0
22.9
19
70%
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
3-4
75%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
15.2
13.6
9
64%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
13.2
16.8
6
109%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
1.9
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
3.4
0
1-1
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.