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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
103
23Cavaliers
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
40
37
22
8
5
1
1
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
11-16
6-12
69%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
35
31
8
5
7
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
34
33
17
0
11
5
2
1
3
0
0
4-5
80%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
33
22
11
6
2
2
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
29
19
12
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
55%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
23
22
17
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
2-5
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
16
21
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
12
9
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
11
8
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
7
11
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
16
0
3-6
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
7
0
1-3
49%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
5
0
1-1
51%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.0
36
30
24
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
10-18
5-12
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.0
32
30
10
10
2
0
1
2
2
3
7
4-6
67%
3-4
5-10
75%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
30
29
12
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
20
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
18
19
2
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
28
30
7
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
24
21
9
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
7-8
88%
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
20
19
13
1
0
3
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.9
19
21
6
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.5
12
23
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
6
0
0-1
36%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.5
3
0
0-1
44%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
2
0
0-0
43%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.