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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers20%94136
4Spurs80%105106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
40.0
35.4
35
74%
3
9
2
1
0
0
1
2
8-8
100%
9-16
4-10
56%
45%
3-4
75%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
37.5
35.4
2
20%
8
5
0
1
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
35.1
31.3
15
76%
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
5-7
71%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
34.3
34.0
26
69%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
12-18
7-16
67%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
31.7
28.5
23
64%
11
1
0
1
1
2
1
10
5-7
71%
9-15
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
23.4
22.7
20
84%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
1-4
75%
37%
2-3
67%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
9.8
2.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
9.0
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
6.1
17.6
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
4.7
17.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
3.2
6.4
3
150%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-1
100%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
3.2
2.9
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
2.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
32.2
30.2
16
55%
6
0
0
2
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
6-10
4-6
60%
57%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
26.9
17.1
13
67%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
5-7
2-3
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
26.1
27.2
9
77%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
61%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
24.3
23.3
10
56%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
23.3
28.9
18
60%
8
3
0
1
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
23.5
24.1
16
50%
0
3
0
1
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
2-7
29%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
20.0
16.2
5
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
18.4
17.4
6
100%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
15.1
15.6
5
43%
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
14.0
10.9
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
8.2
13.1
2
100%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
4.0
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
4.0
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.