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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats23%8987
21Wizards77%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
44.4
30.7
29
53%
3
6
4
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
8-16
4-9
50%
43%
3-9
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
38.5
29.6
17
46%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
7-8
88%
5-14
5-11
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
22.3
19.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
19.1
25.3
2
25%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
16.9
22.6
2
17%
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
29.1
12.1
10
63%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
24.8
21.9
13
55%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
1-3
33%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
22.6
16.2
3
26%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
13.6
15.5
3
75%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
5.2
15.9
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
3.6
10.8
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
7.1
0
0-1
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
6.0
0
1-2
41%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
35.0
29.9
20
72%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
4-8
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
31.3
27.8
19
56%
8
4
0
1
2
4
2
6
7-11
64%
6-12
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
30.4
32.7
13
57%
2
6
1
1
2
3
0
2
0-1
0%
5-10
6-12
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
27.6
29.0
6
38%
10
2
1
1
1
0
3
7
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
55%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
23.0
13.3
2
25%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
34.7
27.8
26
90%
10
0
0
1
0
3
1
9
7-8
88%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
5-8
63%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
21.1
16.3
9
57%
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
19.5
19.1
4
69%
0
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
13.8
10.3
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
1.6
6.1
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
1.3
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
0.6
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.