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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hornets39%9285
10Grizzlies61%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
37.9
21.1
20
48%
18
2
0
1
0
2
4
14
2-2
100%
9-20
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
35.1
35.2
12
47%
2
8
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
27.6
27.7
11
70%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
27.6
32.6
7
66%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-3
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
22.0
27.9
3
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
30.8
32.8
17
45%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
48%
1-5
20%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
17.3
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
17.1
5.5
9
57%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
1-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
13.7
15.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
5.7
2.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.0
4.0
1.9
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
1.4
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
7.8
0
1-2
41%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
36.8
31.5
13
51%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
34.9
32.8
22
64%
4
8
3
2
0
4
0
4
5-5
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
33.3
37.5
10
45%
7
6
0
1
4
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
30.6
27.0
14
65%
6
4
2
2
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
29.9
22.8
12
51%
9
0
1
1
5
1
4
5
0-2
0%
6-11
4-7
55%
55%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
32.4
19.1
13
67%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
24.5
22.3
10
53%
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
7.1
9.6
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
4.6
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
4.5
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
1.4
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
13.0
0
2-5
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
5.7
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.