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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves23%9588
5Nuggets77%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
31.4
21.3
19
91%
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
2-2
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
29.8
33.5
7
42%
3
3
1
1
2
2
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
29.2
15.5
8
57%
4
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
29.0
35.5
11
51%
4
6
0
2
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-8
3-9
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
28.7
36.9
13
36%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
5-9
56%
4-13
5-12
31%
46%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
27.1
22.8
15
54%
2
4
3
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
3-6
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
23.9
26.4
8
50%
4
0
0
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
22.8
20.5
5
21%
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-4
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
18.1
11.5
2
25%
8
1
0
0
2
4
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
9.8
0
2-4
52%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.2
0
1-3
47%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
7.9
0
1-2
51%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
33.6
33.5
32
85%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
4-4
100%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
32.1
34.1
11
49%
5
3
4
2
3
1
2
3
2-3
67%
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
28.2
30.6
11
60%
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
25.1
26.7
4
40%
11
1
0
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-5
5-8
40%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
22.1
20.8
8
80%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
24.8
21.8
15
54%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
7-11
3-7
64%
50%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
22.4
22.6
8
58%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
20.6
25.0
7
52%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
12.4
16.7
8
100%
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
6.0
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
4.4
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
4.4
2.2
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
3.9
2.8
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.