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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls38%9681
9Lakers62%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
43.4
26.9
19
48%
4
8
4
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
2-8
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
42.9
36.6
11
37%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
45%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
40.0
33.1
12
34%
10
1
0
1
0
3
3
7
4-4
100%
4-16
7-15
25%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
39.4
33.4
18
65%
17
3
1
1
3
3
10
7
4-4
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
38.3
38.2
11
33%
8
0
1
1
0
2
4
4
1-1
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
23.9
23.5
5
31%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
8.9
13.9
5
73%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
3.2
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
13.4
0
1-2
44%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
4.1
0
0-1
37%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
41.0
32.9
12
38%
7
0
1
1
4
2
3
4
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
0-6
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
39.6
37.4
19
51%
7
9
2
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
38.5
36.4
16
49%
21
1
1
1
4
3
7
14
0-5
0%
8-14
6-10
57%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
34.1
32.3
16
78%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
22.7
21.3
11
42%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
30.8
26.0
10
50%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-7
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
17.7
20.7
6
43%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
15.6
19.1
0
0%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
22.3
0
4-7
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.8
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.