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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2776ers49%9691
28Magic51%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
40.5
31.7
26
76%
12
2
5
1
0
2
2
10
0-0
-
13-17
6-12
76%
53%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
38.9
38.3
8
24%
5
8
3
2
2
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-15
6-13
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
37.3
18.8
16
60%
1
6
0
1
3
4
0
1
3-3
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
31.7
27.2
15
58%
7
4
0
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
1-1
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
27.9
33.5
6
60%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
5-11
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
15.4
25.2
9
44%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
12.7
18.9
3
75%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
12.6
12.3
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
12.2
8.4
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
10.9
15.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
7.8
0
1-2
46%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
6.2
0
1-2
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.6
0
0-0
51%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
41.7
31.9
14
54%
17
2
1
1
2
4
2
15
0-0
-
7-13
5-10
54%
52%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
39.0
29.2
24
69%
5
10
1
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
5-9
56%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
37.6
24.1
15
47%
7
3
0
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
34.5
31.8
17
57%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-11
5-9
45%
51%
2-3
67%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
24.3
30.4
4
33%
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
26.3
15.3
10
87%
1
6
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
16.7
9.8
8
44%
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-6
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
10.4
18.0
5
83%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
7.4
11.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
2.1
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
18.1
0
4-7
53%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
10.2
0
2-3
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.