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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers31%9091
2Heat69%97105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
41.3
34.4
10
39%
6
5
1
2
0
5
0
6
4-4
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
46%
2-7
29%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
34.3
30.2
24
81%
5
3
4
1
0
1
1
4
10-11
91%
7-10
6-12
70%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
33.0
29.3
6
42%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.2
32.5
27.6
16
54%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
21.8
28.4
7
60%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
2-4
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.3
23.7
17.9
14
79%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
4-8
50%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
14.5
14.5
8
82%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.3
13.7
16.0
4
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.3
13.0
15.4
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
7.2
9.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
2.6
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
2.6
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.5
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
36.4
35.1
13
53%
6
7
1
1
1
4
1
5
3-5
60%
5-10
7-12
50%
56%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
36.1
35.3
23
62%
2
3
6
2
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
9-15
8-16
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
33.0
23.3
26
108%
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
7-7
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
5-6
83%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
32.9
31.1
24
76%
3
4
1
1
3
0
1
2
1-2
50%
10-13
5-10
77%
51%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
18.2
16.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
20.3
24.2
11
60%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
15.4
14.3
6
63%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
15.4
21.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
13.1
25.3
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
12.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
2.6
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
2.2
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
2.2
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.