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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers44%10096
17Hornets56%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
39.8
33.6
16
51%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
6-14
8-15
43%
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
39.6
35.7
11
59%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
38.1
32.2
24
76%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
6-11
55%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
37.8
36.4
20
61%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-1
0%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
35.6
29.1
14
54%
14
1
3
1
1
2
3
11
2-2
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
20.3
22.5
7
70%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
14.5
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
10.2
5.3
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
4.1
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
12.7
0
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
12.1
0
1-3
56%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
42.9
11.6
9
32%
1
9
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-11
1-3
18%
46%
1-2
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
37.3
34.3
20
67%
7
5
2
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
2-4
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
33.2
28.8
18
59%
10
1
1
1
1
1
6
4
2-3
67%
8-14
6-11
57%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
20.6
29.7
0
0%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
18.5
24.6
6
38%
4
1
0
0
2
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
34.0
31.1
20
61%
13
3
2
1
1
2
2
11
2-3
67%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
4-9
44%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
23.0
10.6
8
100%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
20.2
14.7
10
63%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
10.3
4.3
7
79%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
27.3
1
4-9
48%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
5.5
0
1-1
45%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.0
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.