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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks61%100100
25Timberwolves39%9677
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
34.4
32.3
8
44%
8
7
0
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
28.3
30.6
16
62%
9
0
1
1
0
4
0
9
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
24.8
20.0
7
60%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
22.5
23.2
3
25%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
16.1
11.8
8
40%
7
0
1
0
2
0
5
2
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
31.0
25.2
9
42%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
27.4
18.0
13
82%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
6-7
4-6
86%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
25.1
25.8
22
69%
9
3
2
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
4-5
80%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
21.6
24.2
10
50%
12
3
1
1
1
2
4
8
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
3.9
4.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
2.5
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
2.5
1.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
37.0
32.5
18
47%
9
3
0
1
0
2
1
8
4-5
80%
7-15
5-11
47%
47%
0-2
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
31.4
31.9
7
29%
5
5
2
2
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-8
25%
40%
1-4
25%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
30.8
21.8
10
50%
7
0
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
30.8
31.1
7
39%
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
27.9
25.5
13
62%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
51%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
32.1
24.5
16
48%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
20.1
24.9
2
20%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
19.2
21.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
10.7
14.5
4
42%
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.4
0
2-3
48%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
8.7
0
2-3
53%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
7.5
0
1-2
53%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.