Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Bucks	45%	105	115	117.3	98	91.9
	22	Kings	55%	107	113	113.0	100	107.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.9	29	48%	4	9	0	1	3	3	0	4	11-12	92%	9-19	47%	0-5	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	37.5	16	57%	1	8	0	0	1	3	1	0	7-8	88%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	26.1	10	63%	11	0	2	2	0	5	2	9	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh F · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.9	10	56%	7	1	1	4	1	3	1	6	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	17.2	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	27.3	16	73%	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	25.9	9	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	16.3	6	43%	7	2	0	0	0	2	2	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	13.9	12	67%	7	0	2	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ersan Ilyasova # 7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Sanders # 8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	44	22	6	8	9	0	11	33	28-38	74%	33-68	49%	7-19	37%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.9	29	48%	4	9	0	1	3	3	0	4	11-12	92%	9-19	47%	0-5	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	37.5	16	57%	1	8	0	0	1	3	1	0	7-8	88%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	26.1	10	63%	11	0	2	2	0	5	2	9	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh F · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.9	10	56%	7	1	1	4	1	3	1	6	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	17.2	7	58%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-1	100%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	27.3	16	73%	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	25.9	9	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	16.3	6	43%	7	2	0	0	0	2	2	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	13.9	12	67%	7	0	2	0	0	4	4	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ersan Ilyasova # 7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Sanders # 8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	44	22	6	8	9	0	11	33	28-38	74%	33-68	49%	7-19	37%

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 27	37.3	18	64%	8	2	1	1	1	2	2	6	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 33	35.6	5	28%	4	4	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 24	34.7	14	37%	5	9	0	0	2	4	1	4	5-6	83%	3-11	27%	1-5	20%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.2	20	53%	5	3	2	0	2	4	1	4	3-4	75%	7-14	50%	1-3	33%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 23	28.3	24	86%	10	1	1	0	0	4	0	10	4-4	100%	10-12	83%	0-0	-

Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26	25.1	9	50%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 24	16.6	4	29%	3	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Toney Douglas G · 6'2" 195 · 27	12.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 24	9.2	14	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30	4.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 24	2.9	3	50%	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 28	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	43	23	7	3	10	0	10	33	19-25	76%	38-72	53%	6-22	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.08 54.2%

SAC

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

23

32

72%

SAC

20

40

50%

Midrange

MIL

10

36

28%

SAC

18

32

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

SAC

6

9.0

22

27%

41%

Free Throws

MIL

28

38

74%

SAC

19

25

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ellis	29	48%	14.5 / 30
B. Jennings	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy	16	73%	8.0 / 11
G. Ayon	12	67%	6.0 / 9
S. Dalembert	10	63%	5.0 / 8
E. Udoh	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Daniels	9	50%	4.5 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Henson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Gooden	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Cousins	24	86%	12.0 / 14
T. Evans	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Thompson	18	64%	9.0 / 14
I. Thomas	14	37%	7.0 / 19
J. Fredette	14	100%	7.0 / 7
M. Thornton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Salmons	5	28%	2.5 / 9
P. Patterson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Aldrich	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Hayes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Douglas	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Outlaw	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 10 106.7	MIL 117.3 +4.3 SAC 113.0
Pace	3 94.8 10 93.3	MIL 91.9 SAC 107.1 +15.2
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 27 14.9	MIL 15.7 SAC 13.4 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 16 49.1%	MIL 50.0% SAC 50.0%
TO %	5 14.3% 12 14.9%	MIL 8.0% −0.7% SAC 8.7%
ORB %	11 28.0% 15 26.7%	MIL 25.0% +1.7% SAC 23.3%
FTrt	27 23.6 14 27.1	MIL 43.7 +17.1 SAC 26.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 29 55.3%	MIL 55.0% +2.7% SAC 52.3%
STL %	11 8.8% 13 8.7%	MIL 6.1% SAC 7.0% +0.9%
BLK %	4 10.1% 28 6.7%	MIL 11.1% +6.7% SAC 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 15 52.0%	MIL 54.2% +1.4% SAC 52.8%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 19 56.8%	MIL 71.9% +21.9% SAC 50.0%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 25 36.8%	MIL 27.8% SAC 56.3% +28.5%
3P %	14 36.0% 12 36.3%	MIL 36.8% +9.5% SAC 27.3%
FT %	22 73.6% 11 76.9%	MIL 73.7% SAC 76.0% +2.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 4 40.0%	MIL 36.8% SAC 42.6% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 6 35.7%	MIL 41.4% SAC 34.0% −7.3%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 13 24.3%	MIL 21.8% SAC 23.4% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAC
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	115	113
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	22	23
Steals	6	7
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	33 (5)
Field Goals	40-87	44-94
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	20-40
Midrange FG	10-36	18-32
2-Point FG	33-68	38-72
3-Point FG	7-19	6-22
Free Throws	28-38	19-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg