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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder42%9893
4Spurs58%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
39.5
35.6
26
73%
6
5
1
1
2
5
0
6
11-11
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
37.8
32.1
25
44%
6
6
2
1
0
4
4
2
2-3
67%
10-24
6-14
42%
45%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
35.8
28.4
13
61%
16
0
0
0
3
2
4
12
5-6
83%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
34.7
24.9
6
60%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
30.6
26.9
7
60%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
20.5
25.7
9
56%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
16.7
17.8
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
12.3
13.5
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
11.3
16.9
2
25%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
0.9
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
35.5
30.5
17
50%
4
1
3
2
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
7-13
4-7
54%
55%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
35.2
26.0
13
45%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
6-14
6-11
43%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
33.8
26.3
21
80%
10
3
0
1
1
2
1
9
3-5
60%
9-11
4-7
82%
59%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
27.3
23.5
16
89%
1
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
4-4
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
18.5
21.0
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
25.6
7.5
7
50%
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
24.1
23.6
12
47%
4
4
1
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
18.2
15.4
11
94%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
16.0
17.9
4
52%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
4.9
11.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
0.4
17.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
0.4
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
12.6
0
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.