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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons34%9690
23Jazz66%102103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
41.4
28.8
15
49%
13
3
0
1
1
0
1
12
1-1
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
37.2
30.7
14
83%
2
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.0
29.2
22.0
15
48%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
23.3
28.6
5
32%
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
3.5
26.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
35.3
21.0
15
69%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
1-3
33%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
24.7
16.2
12
86%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
4-5
80%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.5
21.2
9.7
2
14%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-4
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
19.0
17.3
12
47%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.5
5.1
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
25.1
1
3-6
46%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.3
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
31.1
23.6
16
50%
10
3
1
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.2
26.4
21.9
20
69%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
8-12
2-5
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
20.9
25.4
6
51%
8
0
0
1
3
1
4
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
19.9
21.3
2
20%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-4
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
18.5
15.5
5
39%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.7
29.5
19.7
14
79%
6
4
2
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
28.1
28.8
13
67%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
24.0
5.2
8
75%
7
5
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
58%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.6
21.6
23.4
5
36%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
20.0
22.5
14
78%
8
0
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
7-9
4-8
78%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.7
7.0
0
0-1
44%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 23.0
4.7
0
1-1
47%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.0
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.