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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets72%105108
29Suns28%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
36.1
33.1
19
64%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
7-10
5-10
70%
52%
1-3
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
29.6
32.6
6
41%
3
7
3
2
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
29.6
29.2
5
27%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
26.3
21.2
22
89%
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
6
2-3
67%
10-11
3-6
91%
58%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
20.3
25.8
10
51%
9
1
0
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
27.4
22.4
7
47%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
26.6
23.2
11
70%
6
1
3
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
26.2
22.8
20
54%
3
1
3
1
0
3
2
1
4-6
67%
5-12
4-7
42%
50%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
18.0
15.1
8
42%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
4-9
3-5
44%
56%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
4.4
0
1-1
52%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
4.2
0
1-2
47%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
35.8
31.1
8
42%
1
7
4
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
32.7
23.4
18
53%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
9-13
2-5
69%
44%
0-4
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
28.6
22.8
9
47%
13
6
0
1
0
2
2
11
5-6
83%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
27.0
21.3
4
29%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
24.0
23.4
16
51%
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-6
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
20.5
23.7
12
61%
2
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
3-5
60%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
18.6
15.6
13
71%
8
1
1
0
2
3
3
5
5-5
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
16.5
21.2
8
51%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
0-1
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.8
15.2
20.5
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
13.4
17.2
3
50%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
7.8
4.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.