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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks47%9593
20Wizards53%96106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
42.9
37.8
26
67%
4
8
2
2
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
11-17
6-14
65%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
41.5
33.4
8
41%
3
10
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
34.9
26.7
21
59%
12
1
2
1
0
2
2
10
1-2
50%
7-14
4-8
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
28.9
28.9
17
63%
11
0
1
1
2
2
3
8
1-1
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
26.3
30.0
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
27.9
23.4
16
54%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
3-7
43%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
13.6
10.4
2
100%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
9.5
11.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
6.4
20.5
3
52%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
2.8
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
2.8
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
2.7
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
4.7
0
1-2
44%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
43.0
33.1
23
57%
6
10
4
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
9-17
6-13
53%
45%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
41.1
18.1
13
87%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
33.9
29.2
13
38%
13
6
3
1
0
1
3
10
1-5
20%
6-15
5-10
40%
54%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
32.9
35.2
20
67%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
4-7
57%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
22.8
29.2
6
28%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
29.9
21.6
14
59%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
22.2
12.5
13
73%
12
1
1
0
0
0
6
6
5-9
56%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
9.9
12.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
4.3
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
20.7
1
1-3
44%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
8.8
0
1-2
43%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
3.2
0
0-0
41%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.