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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors52%9388
22Celtics48%92112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
34.2
23.0
9
57%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
31.9
20.7
19
45%
7
4
0
1
0
3
2
5
5-5
100%
7-18
4-8
39%
46%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
28.9
31.4
9
58%
5
1
3
1
2
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
5-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
28.7
36.7
17
53%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
27.2
29.0
5
36%
4
3
1
1
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
24.5
16.6
13
65%
2
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
44%
1-4
25%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
23.8
23.4
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
16.0
19.2
7
64%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
14.3
10.9
5
42%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-3
33%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
10.5
10.4
0
0%
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
5.6
0
1-1
51%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
3.8
0
0-0
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
39.3
27.1
11
55%
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
28.1
30.4
5
32%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
27.0
24.9
11
49%
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
5-5
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
23.8
21.9
15
69%
4
4
0
1
1
3
0
4
9-11
82%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
20.3
25.7
12
68%
7
2
3
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
31.2
29.1
20
62%
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
5
5-5
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
24.2
19.2
12
56%
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
23.4
23.9
12
87%
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
12.4
11.7
7
81%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
1-3
33%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
5.1
8.1
5
102%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
2.6
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
2.6
8.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.