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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers52%10092
18Hawks48%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
41.7
35.9
20
53%
8
2
2
2
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
44%
2-9
22%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
38.5
31.1
11
36%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.6
38.2
36.5
31
42%
7
5
2
1
0
5
1
6
7-8
88%
9-25
6-13
36%
49%
2-8
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
38.0
36.4
10
48%
16
0
2
1
1
1
3
13
0-3
0%
5-9
6-11
56%
57%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
12.9
21.4
4
69%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
33.5
20.1
6
60%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
21.3
27.2
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
15.8
20.1
7
58%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
13.5
0
2-4
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
40.7
34.0
14
56%
14
4
1
1
0
5
4
10
0-1
0%
7-12
8-14
58%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
34.4
21.9
17
46%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-8
50%
5-9
2-3
56%
51%
1-6
17%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
25.6
7.8
10
50%
11
2
0
0
0
2
3
8
0-0
-
5-10
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
24.0
22.6
9
57%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
19.3
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
33.8
24.3
15
64%
6
2
0
1
2
0
0
6
3-4
75%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
28.6
12.7
12
68%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
19.9
16.1
12
68%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
13.6
5.9
7
70%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
29.6
1
5-11
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
27.7
1
4-8
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
17.4
0
0-1
42%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.