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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Suns19%9681
6Rockets81%108111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
30.9
26.5
15
58%
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
21.6
23.3
4
25%
5
1
1
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
20.0
32.4
11
49%
5
4
3
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
19.3
23.2
5
30%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1-3
33%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
13.7
24.6
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
28.0
15.6
10
83%
2
6
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
24.7
19.2
10
36%
5
2
2
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
22.8
22.5
6
50%
3
1
1
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
19.4
22.4
5
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
1-2
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
18.1
18.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
13.1
16.5
2
35%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
8.4
4.0
9
90%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
42%
1-1
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
6.3
0
1-2
46%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
31.9
38.1
18
86%
2
4
0
2
0
4
0
2
7-8
88%
1-2
5-9
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
27.6
16.9
19
69%
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-8
2-4
63%
56%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
25.9
32.9
14
69%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
6-7
86%
4-7
4-8
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
25.7
29.5
13
66%
3
6
2
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
24.5
36.2
11
48%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-3
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
22.3
16.9
6
43%
3
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
22.1
8.5
6
51%
12
1
0
0
2
3
2
10
0-2
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
59%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
20.4
12.9
12
56%
7
0
1
0
0
4
4
3
2-4
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
15.2
24.8
5
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
11.1
14.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
8.4
3.3
4
69%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
5.0
4.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
4.9
0
1-1
52%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.