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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls59%10279
23Kings41%99121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.8
34.5
32.6
19
85%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
32.5
37.5
10
42%
4
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
29.4
35.3
6
38%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
29.4
35.0
21
72%
7
4
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
8-12
8-16
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
22.4
37.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
46%
0-5
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
22.9
23.4
6
28%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
52%
0-3
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
21.3
3.1
9
38%
5
1
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
39%
1-6
17%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
18.6
11.6
2
26%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
15.5
2.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-3
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
13.5
9.0
6
60%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
11.6
0
1-2
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
36.4
30.1
26
88%
5
7
3
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
10-10
4-9
100%
48%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
30.3
30.1
5
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-5
20%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
28.1
29.7
22
70%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
25.8
31.0
12
61%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
20.3
19.0
14
100%
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
2-2
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
26.2
9.6
10
62%
8
1
1
0
0
0
4
4
4-7
57%
3-5
1-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
23.7
3.2
6
51%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
19.9
13.9
10
79%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
12.0
25.1
7
44%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
11.6
9.8
9
65%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.5
5.7
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
27.4
1
5-11
46%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.