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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies28%9296
3Clippers72%10085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
40.2
33.7
17
62%
3
11
1
2
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
3-5
4-8
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
39.6
20.5
13
51%
8
1
1
0
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
39.1
35.4
21
71%
4
2
5
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
10-14
6-11
71%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
38.6
29.6
18
60%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
9-15
3-8
60%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
31.1
25.7
7
42%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
17.1
24.5
7
60%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
15.4
23.2
11
127%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
3-3
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
13.8
24.5
2
41%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
5.0
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
5.2
0
1-1
47%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
5.2
0
0-1
40%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
4.7
0
1-2
46%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
2.2
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.9
39.1
31.8
24
75%
3
9
2
2
1
5
1
2
9-9
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
38.6
26.0
14
44%
7
3
1
1
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
2-9
22%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.0
36.5
26.7
22
61%
6
5
0
1
1
3
4
2
6-7
86%
8-14
6-11
57%
55%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.5
26.9
20.2
10
63%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
20.1
23.4
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
62%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
32.9
12.3
2
10%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-4
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
28.7
18.8
7
44%
8
1
2
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
12.5
17.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.2
4.5
8.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
23.3
1
2-5
46%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
12.5
0
1-2
48%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.9
10.2
0
1-3
41%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
6.1
0
1-1
55%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.3
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.