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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks31%9791
4Spurs69%10492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
35.5
25.3
10
50%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
38%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
34.6
29.6
21
56%
11
3
4
1
1
1
0
11
6-6
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
46%
3-5
60%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
33.8
33.4
10
42%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-8
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
23.3
27.1
5
83%
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.9
14.3
9.0
6
50%
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
26.4
23.5
10
42%
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
26.1
22.7
12
75%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
24.3
25.7
10
53%
8
2
0
1
2
1
3
5
0-1
0%
5-8
5-8
63%
57%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
21.7
19.4
7
41%
3
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
G · 6'1" 210 · 23.4
9.6
0
1-2
38%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
9.6
0
1-2
46%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
35.8
29.9
28
63%
19
2
0
1
1
2
5
14
4-5
80%
12-20
7-13
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
33.8
22.1
12
42%
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-1
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
56%
1-5
20%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
33.5
24.5
8
44%
1
3
2
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
31.6
26.3
8
39%
10
3
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-3
67%
3-9
4-7
33%
60%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
13.1
21.6
4
67%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
28.1
22.7
7
33%
5
9
2
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-8
3-5
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
24.6
13.4
16
58%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
1-3
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
22.9
19.0
9
65%
1
3
1
1
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
11.0
20.3
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
5.8
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
15.2
1
1-3
51%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
12.6
0
1-2
52%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
10.2
0
1-2
49%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.