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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Suns29%89105
22Wizards71%96127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
37.6
29.4
12
42%
4
11
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
27.9
27.1
13
66%
9
1
0
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-8
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
25.7
24.6
12
55%
8
1
0
0
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
23.0
24.5
8
40%
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-6
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
10.6
21.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
32.0
12.2
11
59%
9
0
1
0
0
1
3
6
2-3
67%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
24.7
21.3
16
58%
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
51%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
23.1
20.6
21
68%
2
1
1
0
0
4
0
2
6-8
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
13.3
17.1
7
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
11.8
19.9
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
7.5
16.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
2.8
6.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
38.3
32.6
34
81%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
7-10
70%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
35.7
32.0
11
55%
3
4
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
49%
3-4
75%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
32.0
34.4
17
72%
5
11
3
1
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
8-11
6-13
73%
47%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
26.4
26.5
17
60%
10
1
0
1
1
0
4
6
3-5
60%
7-12
4-8
58%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
23.0
27.2
14
60%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
22.2
20.1
8
44%
9
1
0
1
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
21.6
14.1
8
51%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
20.9
36.3
13
65%
6
1
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-10
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
17.1
9.3
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
2.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
23.3
1
2-4
47%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
10.7
0
1-2
45%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.