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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats21%9088
19Celtics79%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
38.2
29.9
9
48%
10
3
2
1
2
0
1
9
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
33.5
37.2
16
58%
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
31.5
21.5
5
64%
9
0
1
0
3
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
26.8
35.9
14
52%
0
4
1
2
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
4-8
4-11
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
24.7
26.5
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
25.2
23.5
8
36%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
42%
0-4
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.4
21.2
6.8
18
65%
2
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-6
0-1
17%
37%
4-6
67%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.1
16.5
10.7
8
56%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-5
20%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
12.6
17.6
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.1
9.8
8.6
1
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.3
10.8
0
1-2
47%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
7.1
0
1-1
48%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.6
0
1-2
40%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
32.5
30.5
12
86%
5
4
1
1
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
2-2
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
31.2
25.2
10
56%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
30.6
29.2
10
56%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
24.7
29.2
13
47%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-10
4-7
30%
52%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
23.0
22.6
14
76%
6
8
0
1
3
3
1
5
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
23.6
23.2
15
102%
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
3-3
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
22.6
11.8
6
77%
5
4
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
62%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.4
20.2
20.4
8
50%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.3
15.4
6.6
6
32%
8
0
2
0
0
1
4
4
0-1
0%
3-9
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
11.3
7.0
5
43%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
5.0
6.3
6
56%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-3
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
23.7
1
5-10
54%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.