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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers62%9391
2576ers38%8998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
41.4
33.0
18
46%
14
8
1
2
0
2
2
12
4-6
67%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
2-7
29%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
39.0
33.3
13
43%
3
8
3
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
3-6
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.3
35.8
27.8
25
42%
10
0
0
1
2
0
7
3
7-8
88%
9-26
5-10
35%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
28.6
32.3
2
17%
4
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
50%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
26.9
33.2
18
63%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
8-12
6-12
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.4
21.1
13.5
8
84%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
21.1
12.1
5
63%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
12.1
14.3
2
25%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.3
9.0
16.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
5.0
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
7.0
0
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.5
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
42.9
38.3
27
53%
6
12
0
2
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
10-22
5-12
45%
46%
2-3
67%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
36.6
34.9
13
74%
7
1
4
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
5-7
7-13
71%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
34.1
27.1
18
57%
16
8
0
0
7
3
2
14
3-4
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
1-1
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
33.9
34.1
11
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
33.4
25.9
12
44%
1
3
0
1
3
1
1
0
4-6
67%
4-9
2-6
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.3
29.4
20.7
13
94%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
3-5
60%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
15.6
13.5
4
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
9.1
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
5.1
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
11.9
0
0-1
42%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
7.2
0
1-2
44%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.6
0
0-0
49%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.