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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Cavaliers13%92113
4Spurs87%107119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.5
33.0
30.0
16
62%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
8-13
3-7
62%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
31.6
30.5
15
71%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.0
29.6
30.2
8
27%
8
0
3
1
0
1
3
5
2-7
29%
3-11
4-10
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
29.1
30.1
15
55%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
43%
1-1
100%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
15.9
25.3
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
42%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
22.9
15.8
19
61%
7
0
0
0
4
0
4
3
5-6
83%
7-13
3-7
54%
43%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
22.5
13.6
21
78%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
42%
4-7
57%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.0
22.2
18.5
3
75%
1
7
3
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
18.3
19.9
8
46%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
15.0
16.0
2
41%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
35%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.0
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.6
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.9
34.6
31.5
30
72%
12
4
0
1
5
5
2
10
4-4
100%
13-19
7-14
68%
53%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
32.7
26.7
24
61%
13
4
2
1
2
1
4
9
7-8
88%
7-14
4-6
50%
58%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
27.1
28.0
10
96%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
3-3
5-8
100%
61%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
26.2
27.6
8
68%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
18.0
18.2
7
72%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
26.0
24.5
14
56%
0
10
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-8
63%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
1-4
25%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
24.2
6.9
11
92%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
23.4
20.3
8
57%
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
58%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
18.4
16.5
5
36%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-5
20%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
7.0
9.8
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
2.5
17.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
10.3
0
1-2
53%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
9.1
0
1-1
52%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.