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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies54%9584
21Jazz46%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
41.0
37.1
11
38%
6
3
0
1
2
3
3
3
1-1
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
39.2
31.7
19
67%
9
1
2
1
0
2
2
7
5-7
71%
7-10
6-12
70%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
37.5
36.2
13
34%
4
4
1
2
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
6-16
4-8
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
32.9
32.5
9
35%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
30.0
26.4
4
42%
9
2
0
1
1
1
1
8
2-4
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
24.3
22.0
24
81%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
4-7
57%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
15.7
16.7
4
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
14.8
20.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
4.5
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
0.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
8.6
0
1-2
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
4.5
0
1-2
48%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
1.9
0
0-1
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
37.9
27.7
17
67%
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
8
4-6
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.2
37.4
25.4
14
41%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.2
35.7
22.4
13
43%
4
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.1
26.4
23.3
13
61%
8
2
3
1
0
2
2
6
5-6
83%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
21.3
19.4
5
43%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
27.2
23.6
10
85%
6
0
0
1
2
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.7
22.7
22.8
5
43%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
12.3
11.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
10.4
21.9
8
52%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
8.8
18.6
3
75%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
17.4
1
2-4
49%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.0
14.2
1
1-1
43%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.4
9.6
0
1-2
55%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.0
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.