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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons31%98101
16Trail Blazers69%105112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
40.0
26.8
4
20%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
39.9
29.7
32
61%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
10-17
3-7
59%
46%
2-6
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
37.8
23.3
10
64%
5
3
2
0
1
3
2
3
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
36.1
34.3
14
56%
9
6
0
1
0
1
2
7
4-8
50%
5-9
7-13
56%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
24.0
30.4
13
81%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
3-5
60%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.2
27.6
21.2
23
75%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
10-13
4-8
77%
47%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.0
15.7
23.7
4
50%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.6
12.5
19.3
0
0%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
6.5
9.8
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
13.5
0
2-4
45%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
6.0
0
1-1
54%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.3
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
38.3
35.4
17
65%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-7
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
38.1
36.8
14
46%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
37.7
38.8
31
67%
12
3
1
1
0
2
3
9
5-5
100%
13-21
9-17
62%
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
37.7
37.3
17
61%
5
6
0
1
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
3-7
43%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
33.0
30.1
18
56%
15
2
2
1
0
2
5
10
4-5
80%
7-14
6-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
19.7
21.0
3
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
14.9
12.5
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
10.3
2.9
8
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
10.2
9.5
2
33%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
5.5
0
0-1
51%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
3.3
0
0-0
43%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.