FinalWin Prob.pScore
165%99
108
1435%94
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09095.7
TOR logo TOR
100.09185.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
91
Q4 - 0:20.0TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)108
91
Q4 - 0:37.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
91
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound107
91
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 2107
91
Q4 - 0:37.0TORValanciunas S.FOUL (P2.PN)107
91
Q4 - 0:54.0TORValanciunas 3' Layup (18 PTS)107
91
Q4 - 1:10MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)107
89
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)105
89
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
88
Q4 - 1:28MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)105
87
Q4 - 1:28TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)105
87
Q4 - 1:28TORMISS Ross 18' Step Back Jump Shot105
87
Q4 - 1:35TORFields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
87
Q4 - 1:36TORMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot105
87
Q4 - 1:55TORRAPTORS Rebound105
87
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot105
87
Q4 - 2:06TORRoss 1' Running Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)105
87
Q4 - 2:11MIALucas III STEAL (1 STL)105
85
Q4 - 2:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
85
Q4 - 2:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)105
84
Q4 - 2:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)105
83
Q4 - 2:23MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)105
83
Q4 - 2:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)105
83
Q4 - 2:26TORMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot105
83
Q4 - 2:38TORRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)105
83
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot105
83
Q4 - 3:07TORValanciunas 9' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)105
83
Q4 - 3:20MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)105
81
Q4 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound105
81
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
81
Q4 - 3:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
81
Q4 - 3:39TORMISS Lucas III 19' Jump Shot105
81
Q4 - 3:52MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh105
81
Q4 - 4:00MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.T3)105
81
Q4 - 4:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2105
81
Q4 - 4:02TORSUB: Anderson FOR Lowry105
81
Q4 - 4:02TORSUB: Lucas III FOR DeRozan105
81
Q4 - 4:02TORSUB: Fields FOR Gay105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIASUB: Cole FOR Battier105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIASUB: Lewis FOR Allen105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIASUB: Miller FOR James105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIAHeat Rebound105
81
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2105
81
Q4 - 4:02TORValanciunas S.FOUL (P1.PN)105
81
Q4 - 4:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)105
81
Q4 - 4:16TORMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot105
81
Q4 - 4:39MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)105
81
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)102
81
Q4 - 4:51TORMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot102
81
Q4 - 5:10MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 7 AST)102
81
Q4 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
81
Q4 - 5:21TORMISS Ross 15' Step Back Jump Shot99
81
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)99
81
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
81
Q4 - 5:41TORSUB: Valanciunas FOR Johnson97
81
Q4 - 5:41TORRoss P.FOUL (P4.PN)97
81
Q4 - 5:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
81
Q4 - 5:48TORMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot97
81
Q4 - 5:59TORSUB: Gay FOR Anderson97
81
Q4 - 5:5997
81
Q4 - 5:59TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)97
81
Q4 - 6:08MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
81
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
81
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
80
Q4 - 6:23MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T2)94
79
Q4 - 6:23TORRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)94
79
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Anderson 18' Pullup Jump Shot94
79
Q4 - 6:38MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST)94
79
Q4 - 6:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
79
Q4 - 6:55TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot91
79
Q4 - 7:05MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
79
Q4 - 7:05MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen90
79
Q4 - 7:05MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
79
Q4 - 7:05TORLowry S.FOUL (P4.PN)89
79
Q4 - 7:28TORRoss 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)89
79
Q4 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
77
Q4 - 7:42MIASUB: James FOR Cole88
77
Q4 - 7:42TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Gay88
77
Q4 - 7:42TORSUB: Lowry FOR Lucas III88
77
Q4 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
77
Q4 - 7:42TORAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T4)87
77
Q4 - 7:50MIAHeat Rebound87
77
Q4 - 7:50TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
77
Q4 - 7:55TORLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
77
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Hook Shot87
77
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
77
Q4 - 8:06TORMISS Lucas III 18' Pullup Jump Shot87
77
Q4 - 8:13TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
77
Q4 - 8:14TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
77
Q4 - 8:29MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)87
77
Q4 - 8:29TORJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T3)86
77
Q4 - 8:29MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)86
77
Q4 - 8:51MIAHeat Rebound84
77
Q4 - 8:53TORMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot84
77
Q4 - 9:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)84
77
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
77
Q4 - 9:26TORJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)84
77
Q4 - 9:26TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)84
77
Q4 - 9:40TORSUB: Anderson FOR DeRozan84
77
Q4 - 9:40TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)84
77
Q4 - 9:46MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)84
77
Q4 - 10:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
77
Q4 - 10:06TORMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 10:22MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)81
77
Q4 - 10:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
77
Q4 - 10:28TORMISS DeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper79
77
Q4 - 10:52MIAAllen 6' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)79
77
Q4 - 11:08TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)77
77
Q4 - 11:08TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
76
Q4 - 11:08MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T1)77
75
Q4 - 11:23TORJump Ball Johnson vs. Andersen: Tip to Gay77
75
Q4 - 11:23TORRAPTORS Rebound77
75
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
75
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
75
Q4 - 11:26TORLucas III Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)76
75
Q4 - 11:41TORJohnson Dunk (18 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)76
75
Q4 - 12:0076
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
73
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
73
Q3 - 0:13.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)76
71
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot76
71
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
71
Q3 - 0:36.0TORMISS Gay 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot76
71
Q3 - 0:45.0TORGay REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
71
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Allen 21' Pullup Jump Shot76
71
Q3 - 1:14TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 1:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)76
69
Q3 - 1:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)76
69
Q3 - 1:52MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T4)76
68
Q3 - 1:52TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)76
68
Q3 - 2:08MIAJames 17' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)76
66
Q3 - 2:28TORGay 2' Dunk (25 PTS)74
66
Q3 - 2:32MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)74
64
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
64
Q3 - 2:35TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 274
64
Q3 - 2:35MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers74
64
Q3 - 2:35TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
64
Q3 - 2:35MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T3)74
63
Q3 - 2:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
63
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Battier 3' Layup74
63
Q3 - 2:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
63
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot74
63
Q3 - 2:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)74
63
Q3 - 2:52TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot74
63
Q3 - 2:53TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)74
63
Q3 - 2:54TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot74
63
Q3 - 3:05TORSUB: Ross FOR Lowry74
63
Q3 - 3:05TORSUB: Lucas III FOR Valanciunas74
63
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: Andersen FOR Wade74
63
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh74
63
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: Allen FOR Haslem74
63
Q3 - 3:05TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)74
63
Q3 - 3:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)74
63
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
63
Q3 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
63
Q3 - 3:22TORMISS Gay 2' Alley Oop Layup74
63
Q3 - 3:30TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
63
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot74
63
Q3 - 3:50TORGay 11' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)74
63
Q3 - 4:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)74
61
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
61
Q3 - 4:26TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 4:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
61
Q3 - 4:42MIAHeat Rebound73
61
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 273
61
Q3 - 4:42TORLowry S.FOUL (P3.T3)73
61
Q3 - 4:46TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
61
Q3 - 5:06MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
61
Q3 - 5:18TORRAPTORS Violation: Delay of game Violation71
61
Q3 - 5:18TORDeRozan Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T13)71
61
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)71
61
Q3 - 5:42TORValanciunas 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)69
61
Q3 - 5:44TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
59
Q3 - 5:45TORMISS DeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
59
Q3 - 6:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)69
59
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot69
59
Q3 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
59
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
59
Q3 - 6:17TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)69
59
Q3 - 6:35MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
59
Q3 - 6:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
59
Q3 - 6:49TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
59
Q3 - 7:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)66
57
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot66
57
Q3 - 7:14TORValanciunas 2' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)66
57
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)66
55
Q3 - 7:48TORGay 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (21 PTS)64
55
Q3 - 7:54TORGay REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
53
Q3 - 7:56TORMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot64
53
Q3 - 8:20MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)64
53
Q3 - 8:29TORLowry P.FOUL (P2.T2)64
53
Q3 - 8:48TORJohnson 3' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)64
53
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
51
Q3 - 9:02TORLowry S.FOUL (P1.T1)63
51
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
51
Q3 - 9:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
51
Q3 - 9:05TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
51
Q3 - 9:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
51
Q3 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound61
51
Q3 - 9:32TORMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
51
Q3 - 9:49MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)61
51
Q3 - 9:59MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
51
Q3 - 10:15TORGay 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
51
Q3 - 10:29MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)59
48
Q3 - 10:44TORGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)57
48
Q3 - 10:50MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)57
45
Q3 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound57
45
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
45
Q3 - 11:11MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
45
Q3 - 11:21TORGay 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
45
Q3 - 11:35TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
43
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
43
Q3 - 12:0055
43
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR55
43
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
43
Q2 - 0:24.0TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)52
43
Q2 - 0:25.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)52
41
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Anderson 3' Driving Layup52
41
Q2 - 0:38.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)52
41
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 252
41
Q2 - 0:39.0TORSUB: Anderson FOR Ross52
41
Q2 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Allen52
41
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
41
Q2 - 0:39.0TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
41
Q2 - 0:57.0TORJohnson 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)51
41
Q2 - 1:04TORGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
39
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 151
39
Q2 - 1:05TORRoss S.FOUL (P3.PN)51
39
Q2 - 1:05MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)51
39
Q2 - 1:26TORRoss 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)49
39
Q2 - 1:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)49
37
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS James 4' Driving Jump Shot49
37
Q2 - 1:48TORRoss 2' Layup (4 PTS)49
37
Q2 - 1:50TORRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
35
Q2 - 1:51TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup49
35
Q2 - 1:56MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)49
35
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier49
35
Q2 - 2:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)49
35
Q2 - 2:15TORJohnson 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)49
35
Q2 - 2:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)49
33
Q2 - 2:18TORMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup49
33
Q2 - 2:37MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)49
33
Q2 - 2:48TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
33
Q2 - 2:50TORGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
33
Q2 - 2:51TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
33
Q2 - 2:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
33
Q2 - 3:00MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)47
33
Q2 - 3:23TORGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
33
Q2 - 3:23TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup47
33
Q2 - 3:23TORGay 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)47
33
Q2 - 3:26TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
31
Q2 - 3:27TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot47
31
Q2 - 3:29TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)47
31
Q2 - 3:30TORMISS DeRozan 2' Layup47
31
Q2 - 3:32TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
31
Q2 - 3:33TORMISS DeRozan 3' Layup47
31
Q2 - 3:38MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)47
31
Q2 - 3:44TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)47
31
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
31
Q2 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
31
Q2 - 3:57TORRoss S.FOUL (P2.T4)45
31
Q2 - 4:19TORJohnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)45
31
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
29
Q2 - 4:43TORSUB: Ross FOR Fields44
29
Q2 - 4:43TORSUB: Johnson FOR Valanciunas44
29
Q2 - 4:43MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade44
29
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
29
Q2 - 4:43TORFields S.FOUL (P1.T3)43
29
Q2 - 4:53TORGay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)43
29
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
27
Q2 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
27
Q2 - 5:21TORMISS DeRozan 21' Step Back Jump Shot41
27
Q2 - 5:35TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
27
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot41
27
Q2 - 5:42MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole41
27
Q2 - 5:42MIAJames Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)41
27
Q2 - 5:42TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Valanciunas )40
27
Q2 - 5:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
27
Q2 - 5:51TORMISS Lowry 4' Driving Jump Shot40
27
Q2 - 6:02MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T3)40
27
Q2 - 6:10MIASUB: James FOR Allen40
27
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
27
Q2 - 6:18TORSUB: Lowry FOR Telfair40
27
Q2 - 6:18MIAAllen Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)40
27
Q2 - 6:32MIABosh 1' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
27
Q2 - 6:48TORFields Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)38
27
Q2 - 6:59TORSUB: Gay FOR Anderson38
27
Q2 - 6:59TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Ross38
27
Q2 - 6:59TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
27
Q2 - 7:02TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
27
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 238
27
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen38
27
Q2 - 7:03MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
27
Q2 - 7:03TORTelfair S.FOUL (P1.T2)37
27
Q2 - 7:07TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)37
27
Q2 - 7:29MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
27
Q2 - 7:51TORFields 9' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)35
27
Q2 - 7:59MIAAllen 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)35
25
Q2 - 8:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25
Q2 - 8:12TORMISS Ross 3' Running Finger Roll Layup33
25
Q2 - 8:18MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)33
25
Q2 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound33
25
Q2 - 8:35TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q2 - 8:5233
25
Q2 - 8:52TORRAPTORS Rebound33
25
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q2 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
25
Q2 - 9:12TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q2 - 9:28MIAAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
25
Q2 - 9:42TORValanciunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
25
Q2 - 10:01MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
23
Q2 - 10:08TORSUB: Valanciunas FOR Johnson31
23
Q2 - 10:08TORJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
23
Q2 - 10:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23
Q2 - 10:16TORMISS Telfair 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
23
Q2 - 10:20TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
23
Q2 - 10:22TORMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
23
Q2 - 10:28TORFields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23
Q2 - 10:30MIATelfair BLOCK (1 BLK)31
23
Q2 - 10:45TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)31
23
Q2 - 11:00MIAWade 6' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
21
Q2 - 11:23TORFields 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)29
21
Q2 - 11:46MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)29
19
Q2 - 12:0027
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound27
19
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 32' 3PT Running Jump Shot27
19
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
19
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound26
19
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
19
Q1 - 0:02.0TORRoss P.FOUL (P1.PN)26
19
Q1 - 0:10.0TORSUB: Anderson FOR Gay26
19
Q1 - 0:10.0TORGay P.FOUL (P2.T3)26
19
Q1 - 0:26.0TORRoss 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)26
19
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
17
Q1 - 0:47.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
17
Q1 - 1:00MIACole 2' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)26
17
Q1 - 1:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17
Q1 - 1:13TORMISS Telfair 3' Driving Hook Shot24
17
Q1 - 1:35MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
17
Q1 - 1:47TORSUB: Telfair FOR Lowry22
17
Q1 - 1:47MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers22
17
Q1 - 1:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17
Q1 - 1:51TORMISS Johnson 2' Putback Dunk22
17
Q1 - 1:53TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
17
Q1 - 1:54TORMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot22
17
Q1 - 2:14MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)22
17
Q1 - 2:34MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh19
17
Q1 - 2:34MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem19
17
Q1 - 2:34TORSUB: Ross FOR Valanciunas19
17
Q1 - 2:34MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
17
Q1 - 2:41TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)19
17
Q1 - 2:47TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
15
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Driving Jump Shot19
15
Q1 - 3:06TORJohnson 2' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)19
15
Q1 - 3:26MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)19
13
Q1 - 3:41MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade17
13
Q1 - 3:41TORGay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)17
13
Q1 - 3:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 4:12TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)17
13
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
13
Q1 - 4:46TOR15
13
Q1 - 4:46TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
13
Q1 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound15
13
Q1 - 4:48TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
13
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)15
13
Q1 - 5:22TORValanciunas 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 5:53TORJohnson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 5:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
9
Q1 - 5:55TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot10
9
Q1 - 5:57TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
9
Q1 - 5:58TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 6:26TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 6:32TORGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 6:32MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 6:32TORGay 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)10
8
Q1 - 6:34TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 6:45TORGay 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
4
Q1 - 7:03TORGay P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 7:04TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 7:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
4
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS James 1' Running Reverse Layup6
4
Q1 - 7:49TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)6
4
Q1 - 7:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:21MIAHeat Rebound6
4
Q1 - 8:22TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAWade Violation:Kicked Ball6
4
Q1 - 8:36TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:48TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
4
Q1 - 8:50TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Bosh 1' Running Layup6
4
Q1 - 9:08TORValanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:19TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
2
Q1 - 9:20TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Tip Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
2
Q1 - 9:22TORMISS Lowry 2' Layup6
2
Q1 - 9:35MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 9:48MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 9:48TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )3
2
Q1 - 9:58TORValanciunas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)3
2
Q1 - 10:02TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
2
Q1 - 10:03TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:18TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:42MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)3
2
Q1 - 11:04TORGay 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 11:28MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
0
Q1 - 11:41TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Johnson vs. Bosh: Tip to Valanciunas0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.7%
TOR
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
TOR
24
42
57%
Midrange
MIA
14
25
56%
TOR
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
TOR
2
3.0
20
10%
15%
Free Throws
MIA
20
29
69%
TOR
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2471%12.0 / 17
L. James2265%11.0 / 17
R. Allen2091%10.0 / 11
C. Bosh1875%9.0 / 12
C. Andersen7117%3.5 / 3
S. Battier675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers110%0.5 / 5
R. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2764%13.5 / 21
A. Johnson1850%9.0 / 18
J. Valančiūnas1890%9.0 / 10
D. DeRozan1233%6.0 / 18
T. Ross1255%6.0 / 11
L. Fields4100%2.0 / 2
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 7
A. Anderson0-0.0 / 6
J. Lucas III0-0.0 / 3
S. Telfair0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+2
-12
80
TOR
75
+26
-16
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.7%
TOR
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
105.6
MIA 120.0 +20.0
TOR 100.0
Pace
90.9
90.7
MIA 95.7 +9.8
TOR 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 15.0 +1.7
TOR 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.8%
MIA 65.7% +23.1%
TOR 42.6%
TO %
14.5%
14.4%
MIA 13.1% +0.8%
TOR 13.9%
ORB %
22.2%
25.6%
MIA 6.9%
TOR 50.0% +43.1%
FTrt
29.7
27.4
MIA 43.3 +30.5
TOR 12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
59.2%
MIA 79.5% +41.0%
TOR 38.5%
STL %
9.5%
7.9%
MIA 8.9% +3.4%
TOR 5.5%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
MIA 2.7%
TOR 4.4% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
51.9%
MIA 66.7% +21.7%
TOR 45.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
59.3%
MIA 75.0% +17.9%
TOR 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.2%
MIA 56.0% +15.4%
TOR 40.6%
3P %
39.6%
34.3%
MIA 45.5% +35.5%
TOR 10.0%
FT %
75.4%
78.8%
MIA 69.0%
TOR 91.7% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
32.6%
MIA 29.9%
TOR 44.7% +14.8%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
42.5%
MIA 37.3%
TOR 34.0% +3.3%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.9%
MIA 32.8% +11.6%
TOR 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points10891
Rebounds2651
Assists3115
Steals85
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (0)24 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)27 (4)
Field Goals39-6739-94
At-the-Rim FG15-2024-42
Midrange FG14-2513-32
2-Point FG29-4537-74
3-Point FG10-222-20
Free Throws20-2911-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
34.6
24
71%
3
8
1
0
2
3
0
3
4-6
67%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
33.8
22
65%
12
8
2
0
3
1
1
11
8-11
73%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
28.6
18
75%
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
25.3
1
10%
2
7
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
18.4
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
24.6
20
91%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
24.1
6
75%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
19.0
6
60%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
15.5
7
117%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
4.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
4.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
67%
26
31
8
2
12
0
2
24
20-29
69%
29-45
64%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.