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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat65%99108
14Raptors35%9491
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
34.6
33.6
24
68%
3
8
1
2
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
10-15
8-15
67%
53%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
33.8
34.7
22
65%
12
8
2
1
0
3
1
11
8-11
73%
4-6
7-12
67%
57%
2-6
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
28.6
31.0
18
77%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
6-11
71%
53%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
25.3
27.2
1
9%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
18.4
20.1
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
24.6
24.7
20
92%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
4-6
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
24.1
21.7
6
75%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
19.0
16.1
6
63%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
15.5
15.3
7
102%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
4.0
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
4.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
4.0
2.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
36%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
3.9
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.1
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
37.1
30.0
27
63%
8
4
1
1
0
3
4
4
3-3
100%
9-14
5-12
64%
46%
2-6
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
37.0
31.3
12
33%
5
0
0
1
0
4
2
3
2-3
67%
5-16
5-11
31%
46%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
36.9
34.9
18
50%
18
3
1
1
0
2
8
10
0-0
-
9-18
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
29.4
23.9
18
92%
7
0
0
0
0
4
5
2
4-4
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
29.1
26.7
0
0%
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
26.7
21.3
12
55%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
13.6
22.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-3
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
11.4
7.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
11.3
15.8
4
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
7.5
16.0
0
0%
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.2
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
3.8
0
0-0
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.