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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic29%98109
12Bucks71%106115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
43.2
28.8
23
60%
9
1
2
1
2
1
4
5
3-5
60%
7-13
3-6
54%
51%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
41.5
35.5
20
63%
15
4
2
1
0
3
3
12
0-0
-
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
39.7
37.4
24
57%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
10-14
6-12
71%
50%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
39.5
39.3
16
40%
2
7
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
1-6
17%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
31.9
34.5
14
66%
8
1
1
1
2
3
1
7
5-6
83%
3-4
5-10
75%
49%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
18.1
12.5
8
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
14.3
16.7
4
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
6.7
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
5.3
6.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
9.1
0
1-2
47%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
6.5
0
1-2
51%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
5.2
0
1-1
47%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.0
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
43.6
36.5
15
44%
2
14
2
2
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
1-7
4-8
14%
46%
3-8
38%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
40.1
36.1
39
76%
6
5
3
2
0
6
0
6
8-8
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
5-6
83%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
36.2
33.4
20
68%
11
0
0
1
1
1
3
8
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
2-5
40%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
33.1
28.0
13
48%
11
0
0
1
0
3
4
7
1-1
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
20.9
15.2
6
51%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
23.1
24.7
4
34%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-4
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.5
22.4
23.3
8
40%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-4
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
14.9
16.5
7
72%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
5.6
6.8
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
8.1
0
1-2
54%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
7.8
0
1-2
54%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.6
0
1-1
47%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.