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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors30%102108
6Rockets70%10978
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
44.5
34.4
29
66%
5
11
2
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
5-11
45%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
42.1
34.3
26
72%
4
0
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
6-9
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
35.2
28.3
10
35%
10
4
1
1
0
2
1
9
2-3
67%
4-13
6-11
31%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.3
32.9
23.0
12
61%
12
0
0
1
3
0
2
10
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
17.8
21.5
9
45%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
30.6
27.9
8
35%
4
9
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
47%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.5
12.8
15.6
6
47%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
12.6
12.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
6.9
12.9
2
33%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.7
2.3
6.7
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.3
5.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.7
11.0
0
1-2
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
4.5
0
0-0
58%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
40.4
37.2
21
56%
10
8
3
2
0
3
1
9
6-6
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
52%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
35.6
33.3
9
30%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
4-4
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
54%
1-6
17%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
35.2
31.6
21
61%
1
4
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-3
0%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
3-5
60%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
31.1
25.6
6
60%
11
1
1
1
3
1
4
7
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
19.9
23.1
4
18%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
56%
0-4
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
23.4
23.4
12
51%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
16.9
18.4
5
56%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
13.1
14.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.2
12.4
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.0
5.2
11.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
4.5
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
2.3
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
2.1
0
0-1
51%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.