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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets48%9695
24Timberwolves52%9797
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
39.3
36.2
24
46%
7
5
0
1
0
6
4
3
2-2
100%
8-20
5-11
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
33.5
26.2
20
63%
11
1
0
0
1
4
8
3
4-4
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
33.0
24.3
17
59%
9
2
3
1
1
2
3
6
3-3
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
32.2
25.6
7
61%
4
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
1-4
25%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
26.0
26.9
7
54%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
25.3
27.8
7
32%
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
0-6
3-6
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
22.8
16.9
4
29%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
12.3
10.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
8.8
16.8
5
83%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
6.8
2.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
13.3
0
1-2
48%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
8.5
0
0-1
45%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
37.4
29.1
28
69%
7
0
1
1
1
5
2
5
7-10
70%
6-11
5-9
55%
49%
3-5
60%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
34.9
34.2
16
70%
2
6
2
2
2
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
42%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.1
31.7
29.7
10
63%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
24.8
6.9
8
55%
5
1
1
0
2
3
0
5
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.2
24.4
7.7
13
61%
6
0
0
0
2
2
4
2
3-6
50%
5-8
1-3
63%
54%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
21.5
22.5
6
60%
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
17.7
24.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-2
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
15.1
28.1
5
108%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
15.0
25.4
6
63%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
14.4
22.4
3
50%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
3.1
12.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.