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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks40%94105
13Nets60%9893
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
42.0
34.8
22
51%
11
2
4
1
0
0
3
8
0-1
0%
11-21
7-13
52%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
32.9
27.0
21
69%
7
5
1
1
2
2
1
6
1-3
33%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.0
26.8
27.5
12
86%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
21.3
19.2
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
9.2
24.6
4
41%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
37.2
21.2
11
36%
5
15
2
1
2
2
1
4
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
24.4
11.1
13
87%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
6-7
1-2
86%
41%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
21.9
16.1
7
72%
5
2
2
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
15.1
16.9
7
79%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
4.5
12.0
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
1.6
19.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.9
1.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
1.6
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
38.2
36.1
18
57%
3
8
3
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
37.9
32.6
18
56%
3
3
0
1
0
3
3
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
4-8
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
34.8
30.6
17
41%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
7-19
7-13
37%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.8
32.0
25.0
14
89%
22
0
1
1
0
1
5
17
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
24.2
25.9
4
23%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
49%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
22.5
21.7
2
17%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.8
18.0
19.9
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-4
25%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.5
16.0
15.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
13.2
19.9
9
58%
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
1.6
11.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
1.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.