Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Kings	29%	101	102	110.9	92	91.9
	8	Lakers	71%	109	113	127.0	89	89.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 23	41.7	13	34%	5	7	3	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 24	36.0	22	85%	5	0	0	0	0	2	3	2	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 24	34.3	26	59%	1	6	1	0	1	3	0	1	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 33	30.5	3	21%	0	5	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 27	24.8	4	25%	7	0	1	0	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-

Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30	28.4	8	80%	7	1	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26	20.8	15	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Toney Douglas G · 6'2" 195 · 27	16.7	11	55%	4	1	2	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 24	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 23	\| NWT - Left quad contusion.
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| NWT - Personal.
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	33	21	7	3	5	0	7	26	8-8	100%	32-65	49%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 23	41.7	13	34%	5	7	3	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 24	36.0	22	85%	5	0	0	0	0	2	3	2	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 24	34.3	26	59%	1	6	1	0	1	3	0	1	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	3-10	30%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 33	30.5	3	21%	0	5	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 27	24.8	4	25%	7	0	1	0	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-

Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30	28.4	8	80%	7	1	0	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26	20.8	15	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Toney Douglas G · 6'2" 195 · 27	16.7	11	55%	4	1	2	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 24	6.8	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 23	\| NWT - Left quad contusion.
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| NWT - Personal.
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	50%	33	21	7	3	5	0	7	26	8-8	100%	32-65	49%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 27	40.5	12	55%	17	1	0	5	2	2	3	14	4-10	40%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 33	39.9	22	85%	0	4	0	1	1	2	0	0	1-1	100%	9-10	90%	1-3	33%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 39	35.1	19	73%	4	12	0	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	28.1	6	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Earl Clark F · 6'10" 234 · 25	27.0	11	46%	8	2	0	1	2	1	0	8	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%

Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 37	34.8	27	75%	9	1	0	0	0	1	1	8	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 33	34.6	16	73%	5	8	1	0	4	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-7	57%
Kobe Bryant F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35	\| DND - Severe sprain, left ankle.
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DND - Torn plantar fascia, right foot.
Devin Ebanks F · 6'9" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Duhon G · 6'1" 190 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darius Morris G · 6'4" 195 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hill #27 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	65%	43	28	2	7	13	0	6	37	19-29	66%	29-44	66%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.99 49.5%

LAL

1.30 64.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

19

37

51%

LAL

14

20

70%

Midrange

SAC

13

28

46%

LAL

15

24

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

LAL

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

Free Throws

SAC

8

100%

LAL

19

29

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	26	59%	13.0 / 22
P. Patterson	22	85%	11.0 / 13
M. Thornton	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Evans	13	34%	6.5 / 19
T. Douglas	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Hayes	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Thompson	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Salmons	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	27	75%	13.5 / 18
M. World Peace	22	85%	11.0 / 13
S. Nash	19	73%	9.5 / 13
S. Blake	16	73%	8.0 / 11
D. Howard	12	55%	6.0 / 11
E. Clark	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Meeks	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 106.7 7 108.3	SAC 110.9 LAL 127.0 +16.1
Pace	10 93.3 6 94.1	SAC 91.9 +2.7 LAL 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.9 24 15.2	SAC 15.7 −0.5 LAL 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 49.1% 9 51.2%	SAC 49.0% LAL 65.3% +16.3%
TO %	12 14.9% 25 15.5%	SAC 5.7% −9.3% LAL 15.0%
ORB %	15 26.7% 14 27.0%	SAC 15.9% LAL 18.8% +2.9%
FTrt	14 27.1 1 34.5	SAC 8.3 LAL 40.3 +32.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 55.3% 17 59.8%	SAC 50.0% LAL 68.3% +18.3%
STL %	13 8.7% 26 7.5%	SAC 7.6% +5.4% LAL 2.2%
BLK %	28 6.7% 17 7.9%	SAC 6.8% LAL 10.8% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.0% 8 53.3%	SAC 49.5% LAL 64.9% +15.4%
Rim FG%	19 56.8% 8 59.2%	SAC 51.4% LAL 70.0% +18.6%
Mid FG%	25 36.8% 9 40.3%	SAC 46.4% LAL 62.5% +16.1%
3P %	12 36.3% 19 35.5%	SAC 32.3% LAL 42.9% +10.6%
FT %	11 76.9% 30 69.2%	SAC 100.0% +34.5% LAL 65.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 40.0% 13 37.0%	SAC 38.5% +10.8% LAL 27.8%
Mid Att. %	6 35.7% 4 32.7%	SAC 29.2% −4.2% LAL 33.3%
3P Att. %	13 24.3% 3 30.3%	SAC 32.3% LAL 38.9% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	92	89
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	102	113
Rebounds	33	43
Assists	21	28
Steals	7	2
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	5 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (9)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	37 (1)
Field Goals	42-96	41-72
At-the-Rim FG	19-37	14-20
Midrange FG	13-28	15-24
2-Point FG	32-65	29-44
3-Point FG	10-31	12-28
Free Throws	8-8	19-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg